Methodologie
Wie Quellen ausgewählt und präsentiert werden
Lysning ist ein unabhängiges analytisches Projekt, das auf offenen und überprüfbaren Quellen basiert. Sein Zweck ist es nicht, originale Berichterstattung oder Nachrichtendienst-Erkenntnisse zu produzieren, sondern öffentlich verfügbare Informationen zu organisieren, zu kontextualisieren und zu interpretieren, um komplexe geopolitische und informationelle Dynamiken lesbarer, nachvollziehbarer und über die Zeit vergleichbar zu machen.
In methodologischer Hinsicht wendet Lysning einen dokumentarischen Open-Source-Intelligence (OSINT) Ansatz an, der sich auf die Aggregation, Kreuzverifizierung und chronologische Organisation primärer institutioneller Quellen konzentriert. Das Projekt führt keine prädiktive Analyse durch und liefert keine Echtzeit-Berichterstattung von Gefechtsfeldern oder aktuellen Nachrichten. Sein Ziel ist es, Ereignisse zu dokumentieren, Narrative mit überprüfbaren Daten zu vergleichen und langfristige Trends und Informationsmuster hervorzuheben.
Das Projekt stützt sich in erster Linie auf institutionelle Dokumentation, offizielle Erklärungen und etablierte internationale Medien, ergänzt wo angemessen durch akademische Forschung und Open-Source-Untersuchungen. Auf der gesamten Website wird eine klare Unterscheidung zwischen dokumentierten Fakten, offiziellen Zuschreibungen und analytischer Interpretation aufrechterhalten, um eine Vermischung von Beweisen und Bewertungen zu vermeiden.
Lysning erhebt keinen Anspruch auf Neutralität im abstrakten Sinne. Sein analytischer Rahmen ist im Völkerrecht und in den Prinzipien der multilateralen Ordnung verankert. Ereignisse werden daher nicht nur durch strategische oder geopolitische Überlegungen untersucht, sondern auch in Bezug auf rechtliche Verantwortung und die Folgen von Verletzungen internationaler Normen. Aus diesem Grund verfolgt das Projekt keine Realpolitik-Perspektive, die Machtdynamiken als alleinigen Erklärungsfaktor behandelt.
Gleichzeitig präsentiert sich Lysning nicht als juristische Autorität. Es stützt sich nicht auf klassifizierte Informationen und erhebt auch keinen Anspruch darauf, definitive Zuschreibungen zu liefern, wo Beweise unvollständig oder umstritten bleiben. Die Grenzen der Open-Source-Analyse werden explizit als Teil der Methodologie anerkannt.
Lysning ist eine unabhängige, nicht-kommerzielle Initiative. Es erhält keine Finanzierung von Regierungen, politischen Parteien oder Interessengruppen und wird von einem Engagement für Transparenz, Überprüfbarkeit und analytische Verantwortung geleitet.
Pacta sunt servanda.
EU-Institutionen und -Politik
Offizielle Dokumente, Berichte und institutionelle Seiten
Official documents, reports and institutional pages
Sources
3rd EEAS FIMI Report 2025 - https://www.eeas.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/2025/EEAS-3nd-ThreatReport-March-2025-05-Digital-HD.pdf
Comunicato Consiglio UE sul Rapporto Tagliavini - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cms_data/docs/pressdata/en/er/110370.pdf
consilium.europa.eu - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/foreign-information-manipulation/
EDA – Defence Data 2024-2025 - https://eda.europa.eu/docs/default-source/brochures/2025-eda_defencedata_web.pdf
EDA – EU defence spending hits €343 billion - https://eda.europa.eu/news-and-events/news/2025/09/02/eu-defence-spending-hits-343-bln-in-2024-eda-data-shows
EEAS FIMI - https://www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/information-integrity-and-countering-foreign-information-manipulation-interference-fimi_en
eeas.europa.eu - https://www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/information-integrity-and-countering-foreign-information-manipulation-interference-fimi_en)
eeas.europa.eu - https://www.eeas.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/2025/EEAS-3nd-ThreatReport-March-2025-05-Digital-HD.pdf)
eeas.europa.eu - https://www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/fimi_en
EU Council – 17th package of sanctions - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2025/05/20/russia-s-war-of-aggression-against-ukraine-eu-agrees-17th-package-of-sanctions/
EU Sanctions against Russia - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/sanctions-against-russia/
EU Sanctions Explained - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/sanctions-against-russia-explained/
EU – Sanctions adopted following Russia's aggression - https://finance.ec.europa.eu/eu-and-world/sanctions-restrictive-measures/sanctions-adopted-following-russias-military-aggression-against-ukraine_en
European Commission - REPowerEU - https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/priorities-2019-2024/european-green-deal/repowereu-affordable-secure-and-sustainable-energy-europe_en
European Council - EU response to hybrid threats - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/hybrid-threats/
European Council – EU response to Russia's invasion - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/eu-response-russia-military-aggression-against-ukraine-archive/
European Defence Agency – Defence Data Portal - https://eda.europa.eu/publications-and-data/defence-data
Desinformationsüberwachung
Datenbanken, Observatorien und Fachanalysen
Databases, observatories and specialist analysis
Sources
EDMO - Pravda Network - https://edmo.eu/publications/russian-disinformation-network-pravda-grew-bigger-in-the-eu-even-after-its-uncovering/
edmo.eu - https://edmo.eu/publications/russian-disinformation-network-pravda-grew-bigger-in-the-eu-even-after-its-uncovering/)
edmo.eu - https://edmo.eu/publications/
Facta.news - https://facta.news/
facta.news - https://facta.news/)
Formiche.net - https://formiche.net/
formiche.net - https://formiche.net/)
geopolitica.info - https://www.geopolitica.info/disinformazione-italia/)
Geopolitica.info - https://www.geopolitica.info/
geopolitica.info - https://www.geopolitica.info/)
Geopolitica.info - Frammentazione istituzionale - https://www.geopolitica.info/disinformazione-italia/
Il Foglio - https://www.ilfoglio.it/
ilfoglio.it - https://www.ilfoglio.it/)
NewsGuard - https://www.newsguardtech.com/
NewsGuard Italia - Report - https://www.newsguardtech.com/it/special-reports/newsguard-in-italia-progressi-e-collaborazioni/
newsguardtech.com - https://www.newsguardtech.com/)
newsguardtech.com - https://www.newsguardtech.com/it/special-reports/newsguard-in-italia-progressi-e-collaborazioni/)
NATO
Offizielle NATO-Seiten und Erklärungen
Official NATO pages and statements
Sources
Allied Land Command – Enhanced Forward Presence - https://lc.nato.int/operations/enhanced-forward-presence-efp
NATO - Finland joins the Alliance - https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_212838.htm
NATO - Sweden joins the Alliance - https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_222186.htm
NATO – Approach to counter information threats - https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_231905.htm
NATO – Countering hybrid threats - https://www.nato.int/en/what-we-do/deterrence-and-defence/countering-hybrid-threats
NATO – Enhanced Forward Presence - https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_136388.htm
NATO – Strategic Concept 2022 - https://www.nato.int/en/about-us/official-texts-and-resources/strategic-concepts/nato-2022-strategic-concept
UN und Völkerrecht
Resolutionen, Verträge und IGH
Resolutions, treaties and the ICJ
Sources
Corte Internazionale di Giustizia - Ordinanza del 16 marzo 2022 - https://www.icj-cij.org/case/182
Risoluzione ONU 68/262 - Integrità territoriale dell'Ucraina - https://documents.un.org/doc/undoc/gen/n13/455/19/pdf/n1345519.pdf
Risoluzione ONU ES-11/1 - https://documents.un.org/doc/undoc/gen/n22/293/36/pdf/n2229336.pdf
Testo integrale degli Accordi di Minsk II (ONU) - https://peacemaker.un.org/ukraine-minsk-agreement-2015
Testo originale del Memorandum (ONU) - https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%203007/Part/volume-3007-I-52241.pdf
UN Security Council – DPRK Panel of Experts - https://main.un.org/securitycouncil/en/sanctions/1718/panel_experts/reports
UN Treaty Collection — Budapest Memorandum registration - https://treaties.un.org/Pages/showDetails.aspx?objid=0800000280401fbb
UNHCR - Crisi rifugiati Ucraina - https://www.unhcr.org/ukraine-emergency.html
OSZE
OSZE-Überwachung und -Dokumente
OSCE monitoring and documents
Sources
OSCE - Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine - https://www.osce.org/special-monitoring-mission-to-ukraine
OSCE - Testo integrale dell'Atto Finale di Helsinki - https://www.osce.org/helsinki-final-act
Sicherheit und Geheimdienste
Sicherheitsdienste und Spionageabwehr
Security services and counter‑intelligence
Sources
Danish Defence Intelligence – Risk Assessment - https://www.fe-ddis.dk/en/produkter/Risk_assessment/
fe-ddis.dk - https://www.fe-ddis.dk
supo.fi - https://supo.fi
verfassungsschutz.de - https://www.verfassungsschutz.de
Europäische Regierungen und Behörden
Nationale Ministerien und offizielle Websites
National ministries and official sites
Sources
Governo Ceco - Dichiarazione ufficiale - https://www.vlada.cz/en/media-centrum/aktualne/statement-of-the-government-of-the-czech-republic-187049/
Italian Ministry of Environment - Gas diversification - https://www.mase.gov.it/pagina/sicurezza-energetica
Presidenza del Consiglio - Relazioni DIS - https://www.sicurezzanazionale.gov.it/cosa-facciamo/relazione-annuale
sicurezzanazionale.gov.it - https://www.sicurezzanazionale.gov.it/cosa-facciamo/relazione-annuale)
sicurezzanazionale.gov.it - https://www.sicurezzanazionale.gov.it
Swedish Government - NATO membership - https://www.government.se/government-policy/sweden-and-nato/
U.S.-Regierung
Offizielle U.S.-Ministerien und -Dokumente
Official U.S. departments and documents
Sources
U.S. Department of State - Helsinki Final Act, 1975 - https://history.state.gov/milestones/1969-1976/helsinki
U.S. Department of State – Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund - https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/25-523-Ukraine-Reconstruction-and-Investment.pdf
U.S. Department of State — Agreement (Ukraine 25-523) + download - https://www.state.gov/ukraine-25-523
U.S. Treasury – Ukraine Reconstruction Fund Agreement - https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0126
White House – America First Trade Policy - https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/america-first-trade-policy/
White House – Report on America First Trade Policy - https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/report-to-the-president-on-the-america-first-trade-policy-executive-summary/
White House – Ukraine Reconstruction Fund Fact Sheet - https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/05/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-secures-agreement-to-establish-united-states-ukraine-reconstruction-investment-fund/
Plattformen und Regulierung
Plattformen und EU-Digitalregulierung
Platforms and EU digital regulation
Sources
about.fb.com - https://about.fb.com/news/category/security/
Energie und Märkte
Gas-/Energiedaten und Marktkontext
Gas/energy data and market context
Sources
IEA - Europe Gas Crisis Timeline - https://www.iea.org/topics/russias-war-on-ukraine
Forschung und Untersuchungen
Think Tanks, OSINT und Untersuchungen
Think tanks, OSINT and investigations
Sources
AI Forensics - Meta Political Ads - https://aiforensics.org/work/meta-political-ads
aiforensics.org - https://aiforensics.org/work/meta-political-ads)
aiforensics.org - https://www.aiforensics.org
Atlantic Council - DFRLab - https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/programs/digital-forensic-research-lab/
atlanticcouncil.org - https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/programs/digital-forensic-research-lab/)
Bellingcat - Identificazione unità Buk - https://www.bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-europe/2019/06/19/identifying-the-separatists-linked-to-the-downing-of-mh17/
Bellingcat - Vrbětice investigation - https://www.bellingcat.com/news/2021/04/20/the-gru-agents-who-poisoned-skripal-also-blew-up-a-czech-arms-depot/
Bruegel - European natural gas imports - https://www.bruegel.org/dataset/european-natural-gas-imports
Center for Strategic and International Studies - Russia's Buildup - https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-possible-invasion-ukraine
Council on Foreign Relations - Putin's Munich Speech - https://www.cfr.org/blog/putins-munich-speech
Council on Foreign Relations - The Minsk Agreements - https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/what-are-minsk-agreements
CSIS – Navigating Disruption: Ally & Partner Responses - https://features.csis.org/responses-to-US-foreign-policy/
Nachrichtenmedien
Journalistische Berichterstattung
Journalistic reporting
Sources
BBC - Cronologia dell'annessione - https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26644082
BBC - Czech Republic explosion linked to GRU - https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56801663
BBC - Russia Ukraine border: What we know about military build-up - https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56720589
Financial Times - Russia's shadow war on Europe - https://www.ft.com/content/russia-shadow-war-europe
Il Post - https://www.ilpost.it/
ilpost.it - https://www.ilpost.it/)
Reuters - Europe on alert for Russian sabotage - https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/europe-alert-russian-hybrid-attacks-2024/
Reuters - Finland officially joins NATO - https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/finland-formally-joins-nato-russia-threatens-counter-measures-2023-04-04/
Reuters - Nord Stream investigation - https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/nord-stream-gas-leak-an-attack-says-eus-von-der-leyen-2022-09-27/
Reuters - Sweden officially joins NATO - https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/sweden-formally-joins-nato-ending-200-years-neutrality-2024-03-07/
Reuters - Timeline of Russian troop buildup - https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-military-build-up-near-ukraine-2021-12-01/
Reuters — Full text memorandum of intent (Apr 18, 2025) - https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/full-text-us-ukraine-memorandum-intent-minerals-deal-2025-04-18/
Nordische Länder: Medien und Umfragen
Lokale Quellen und Umfragen
Local sources and polling
Sources
YLE - Sondaggi opinione pubblica finlandese - https://yle.fi/a/3-12361854
Andere Quellen
Verschiedene Referenzen
Miscellaneous references
Sources
alliance4europe.eu - https://alliance4europe.eu/russian-influence-doppelganger-june-x-meta)
alliance4europe.eu - https://alliance4europe.eu/)
Arms Control Association – Russia Ends North Korean Sanctions Panel - https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2024-05/news/russia-ends-north-korean-sanctions-panel
Berkeley Goldman School – Trump's 2025 National Security Strategy - https://gspp.berkeley.edu/research-and-impact/news/recent-news/what-trumps-2025-national-security-strategy-reveals-about-the-future-of-u.s-foreign-policy
Carnegie Endowment - Analysis of the Tagliavini Report - https://carnegieendowment.org/posts/2015/09/the-still-topical-tagliavini-report
Centre for European Reform - The Helsinki Final Act at 50 - https://www.cer.eu/insights/helsinki-final-act-50-relevant-or-relic
CheckFirst - Influence by Design - https://checkfirst.network/influence-by-design-how-meta-accepted-russian-propaganda-payments-despite-sanctions/
checkfirst.network - https://checkfirst.network/influence-by-design-how-meta-accepted-russian-propaganda-payments-despite-sanctions/)
CNN – Denmark sees US as potential security concern - https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/10/europe/denmark-intelligence-report-intl
Counter Disinformation Network - https://alliance4europe.eu/russian-influence-doppelganger-june-x-meta
Counter Disinformation Network - https://alliance4europe.eu/
Database EUvsDisinfo - https://euvsdisinfo.eu/disinformation-cases/
diplomatie.gouv.fr - https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/en/country-files/russia/news/2024/article/foreign-digital-interference-france-detects-a-russian-propaganda-network-12-feb)
diplomatie.gouv.fr - https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr
Euronews - French agency uncovers network - https://www.euronews.com/next/2024/02/13/french-agency-uncovers-pro-russian-propaganda-network
euronews.com - https://www.euronews.com/next/2024/02/13/french-agency-uncovers-pro-russian-propaganda-network)
EUvsDisinfo - https://euvsdisinfo.eu/
EUvsDisinfo - Doppelganger - https://euvsdisinfo.eu/doppelganger-strikes-back-unveiling-fimi-activities-targeting-european-parliament-elections/
euvsdisinfo.eu - https://euvsdisinfo.eu/)
euvsdisinfo.eu - https://euvsdisinfo.eu/disinformation-cases/)
euvsdisinfo.eu - https://euvsdisinfo.eu/doppelganger-strikes-back-unveiling-fimi-activities-targeting-european-parliament-elections/)
IDMO - Italian Digital Media Observatory - https://www.idmo.it/
idmo.it - https://www.idmo.it/)
IIFFMCG - Rapporto completo (Volume I) - https://www.echr.coe.int/Documents/HUDOC_38263_08_Annexes_ENG.pdf
Institute for the Study of War – Ukraine Conflict Updates - https://www.iswresearch.org/
ISW – Interactive Map of Russian Invasion - https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375
ISW – Understanding War - https://www.understandingwar.org/
Joint Investigation Team - MH17 Investigation - https://www.prosecutionservice.nl/topics/mh17-plane-crash
Meta Threat Reports - https://transparency.fb.com/threat-indicators/
Ministero Affari Esteri Francia - https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/en/country-files/russia/news/2024/article/foreign-digital-interference-france-detects-a-russian-propaganda-network-12-feb
MSMT – Unlawful Military Cooperation DPRK-Russia - https://msmt.info/view/save/2025/05/29/1085cade-a4b1-4405-94c0-7c980c24fd21-Unlawful_Military_Cooperation_including_Arms_Transfers_between_North_Korea_and_Russia_(MSMT_2025_1).pdf
National Security Archive - Budapest Memorandum after 30 Years - https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2024-12-05/budapest-memorandum-1994-after-30-years-non-proliferation
Nordic Times – US cited as threat in Danish report - https://nordictimes.com/the-nordics/us-cited-as-threat-in-danish-intelligence-report/
OHCHR - Civilian casualties report in Ukraine - https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2022/01/ukraine-civilian-death-toll-14000-over-almost-8-years-conflict-human-rights
RUSI – Russia Funding North Korea's Nuclear Programme - https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/russia-now-actively-funding-north-koreas-nuclear-programme
sgdsn.gouv.fr - https://www.sgdsn.gouv.fr/files/files/20240212_NP_SGDSN_VIGINUM_PORTAL-KOMBAT-NETWORK_ENG_VF.pdf)
sgdsn.gouv.fr - https://www.sgdsn.gouv.fr/viginum
Testo integrale del discorso di Monaco (Kremlin.ru) - http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/transcripts/24034
transparency.fb.com - https://transparency.fb.com/threat-indicators/)
Viginum Report - Portal Kombat - https://www.sgdsn.gouv.fr/files/files/20240212_NP_SGDSN_VIGINUM_PORTAL-KOMBAT-NETWORK_ENG_VF.pdf
Washington Post - Putin's Prepared Remarks at Munich Conference - https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/12/AR2007021200555.html